A New York Post article from last week reveals the not
particularly surprising news that cosmetics giant Elizabeth Arden is losing
money on fragrances linked to both Justin Bieber and Taylor Swift. The
reporters suggest that the effect is attributable to both lower-income
customers cutting back on luxury items because of the economic situation and
also to people getting tired of unpopular behavior on the part of the two
celebrities in question (e.g. Bieber’s “bratty antics” and Swift’s “diva
routine”). I have to agree that these factors probably do figure into the
drop-off in sales of these products, but at the same time I have to note that
the majority of pop acts over the past four decades have followed a similar
career trajectory, and the percentage is even higher for those individuals
specifically developed and groomed by a record company for the purpose (as
opposed to naturally-occurring groups of musicians). And the increasing
saturation of both the entertainment and cosmetic industries is making this
type of failure increasingly common…
Go into any large retail establishment that carries the
so-called “celebrity fragrance” products, especially around the holidays, and
you will find yourself confronting dozens or hundreds of possible choices, none
of which have any particular virtues apart from being endorsed by the
particular celebrity whose picture appears on the package. In fact, other than “smell
like this celebrity,” most of these products do not even attempt to provide any
other selling points. By the same token, in the YouTube era it is possible for
dozens (or hundreds) of new performers to appear at any given time, and even if
a specific recording artist is able to sell a large number of albums and
attract a large following, there is no way of telling how long that success
will last – even assuming that the celebrity in question doesn’t do anything
objectionable enough to drive his or her fans away…
Now, I don’t mean to suggest that there aren’t recording
artists with staying power – the Rolling Stones are well into their sixth
decade and showing no signs of stopping, to take the obvious example – or cosmetic
products with even longer life spans, like some of the famous Chanel fragrances.
But performers and products with that kind of longevity will generally have
more to offer than just instant fame from a television show or a sleazy record
producer, such as talent or actually smelling nice. In other words, they offer
value for the customer’s money. And while there have been occasional exceptions
over the years, I don’t think I would want to base my company’s strategy (and
ultimately survival) on someone’s ability to catch lightning in a jar
repeatedly over time…