Thursday, May 24, 2018

Here We Go Again

I’ve written about a lot of bad crowdfunding projects in this space, to the point where I’m mostly ignoring all but the most egregious ones now. Most of these ventures appear to be the result of people who have no idea what they’re doing trying something that “must be simple.” After all, they reason, if some clown who just wanted to see how many people around the world would give him money for a batch of potato salad can get in excess of $55,000 USD, then surely people will want to kick in a few dollars to fund a breakthrough in technology and get some neat thank-you gifts. If you look through the “Not Funded” page on Kickstarter, or any of the competing sites, you will find a wealth of stories ranging from the heart-breaking to the things that make you wonder “Who thought that ANYONE would donate money for that?” But it’s starting to look as though the real problem is projects that were funded, but shouldn’t have been…

Consider, if you will, the case of Ossic, a start-up company that was promising to make headphones superior to anything currently on the market. If I’m reading the Business Insider story correctly, the idea was that the company would measure the customer’s head and ears in order to produce a customized fit, resulting in headphones that both sound better and are more comfortable to wear. The pitch was apparently convincing enough that investors contributed more than $3 million USD through their Kickstarter page, and another 22,000 people paid to pre-order the product before the company had produced anything other than an ad campaign. Everything seemed to be going well until the company announced that they had spent all of the money and would be shutting down operations without actually making any headphones…

Anyone who has been reading this blog (assuming that anyone has been reading this blog) probably saw this one coming. I’ve already brought you stories about failed Kickstarter projects to create watches, board games, movies, audio recordings, and plush toys, not to mention Go Fund Me projects (the charitable equivalent of crowdfunding) that also came to grief. What makes the Ossic project so remarkable, from where I’m sitting, is that even assuming that most of the pre-orders were for the company’s cheapest product, we’re still talking about somewhere above $4.5 million USD, which doesn’t include the $3.2 million they got crowdsourcing or the “millions of dollars” they claimed to have raised from conventional sources…

Even assuming that the company was exaggerating about their conventional funding, not to mention their claims that all of their employees had been working without pay for six months to try and fulfill their commitments to the investors, one still has to wonder how they managed to squander something in excess of $8 million without producing more than about 250 demonstrator units (to attempt to generate additional sales/investments). Did they underestimate the production costs, the time it would take to establish a revenue stream, or the overhead it would take to get fully operational? Did their business plan include paying very high salaries to their senior management team, their engineers, or their marketing personnel? Did they even have a business plan?

Another interesting question would be where they found 22,000 people who have never heard the often-quoted statistic that 90% of all entrepreneurial start-ups fail. One might reasonably assume that with the stories of failed crowdfunding projects now bouncing all over the Internet, people would be more cautious about spending money on a product that might or might not actually exist, but that does not appear to have been the case here. Even granted that the product descriptions were highly appealing (“Like virtual reality for audio!”), I have trouble picturing paying $200+ for a product that does not currently exist from a company I’ve never heard of before. Admittedly, I refused to pre-order the Apple Watch, either, and that seems to have turned out all right, but I still have to wonder…

I don’t imagine that anyone out there spent their rent money pre-ordering headphones, and it’s even harder to believe that anyone would contribute money they couldn’t afford to a crowdfunding project. What concerns me is that if projects like this one keep getting this level of negative attention, there is a real possibility that people will stop supporting new companies, either through crowdfunding and pre-orders, or possibly through more conventional channels. If that happens it seems highly likely that the rate at which new entrepreneurial ventures fail will exceed 90% - and there’s no telling how many deserving products or companies will never get their chance…

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