Monday, June 26, 2017

Blade Wars

For some time now we’ve been seeing ads on television and various other media for new companies that are selling razors and shaving products over the Internet. I’ve been watching them with some interest, both because I use such products myself and also because this is a product category that has suffered from artificially inflated prices for as long as I’ve been old enough to shave. Whether this is an isolated case or if it turns out to have relevance to other product categories remains to be seen, but at the very least it would appear that the traditional strategic advantages are no longer quite as sustainable as you might think…

Fox Business is reporting that Gillette’s share of the men’s shaving market has been dropping for at least the last six years – from nearly 70% in 2010 to 54% in 2016, and possibly still dropping. To the best of my knowledge, there has never been any reason why other companies could not have challenged Gillette’s domination of the industry, any more than other companies could have challenged Frito-Lay for control of the potato chip and corn chip industry. But as in the case of salty snacks, it can be very difficult for a new competitor to break into an industry that already has an entrenched competitor with vendors, distributors, retailers, and the majority of the end users already its control. The purchase of Gillette by Proctor and Gamble in 2005 only made things that much harder for anyone else who might have thought to break into the market…

As a result, Gillette has been selling razor cartridges for as much as $6 each, and is in the middle of testing and introducing new extensions to the product line that might go even higher. It has become something of a running joke in recent years that the company keeps adding blades and jacking up the price. And while exactly how much of the price was made up of profit margin remains in dispute, it has not been much of a surprise to learn that the well-known Schick competing products run for as little as 50% of the Gillette equivalent’s price. Finding out that the cheapest Dollar Shave Club refill cartridge goes for as little as 20 cents was rather more surprising, to be sure, but what was really amazing was seeing the full-page ad in the newspapers responding to the new competition…

You can see one of the examples at Campaign Outsider if you’d like to. Gillette was already planning to answer the shave clubs delivery/convenience advantage by launching their own subscription service, but apparently the threat posed by the price advantage has caught their attention as well, and they are now publicly announcing upcoming price reductions across their product line. If the Fox Business story is correct, this should amount to an average reduction of about 12% on Gillette shaving products. Whether this will be enough to counter the 90% price advantage offered by the new online competition remains to be seen, of course…

Now, I’m not saying that the new price reductions won’t work, or that the success of the new shave clubs will bring additional competition into the market. I don’t begin to have enough data to make any such predictions, and I’m not sure anybody else does, either. For all that the situation is a classic example of a previously dominant company having to deal with an unexpected entrant crashing their market, the use of an Internet-based campaign and a direct-billed subscription model, not to mention home delivery, is almost literally unprecedented in this industry and product category. I can’t see any reason it shouldn’t work, and I’m not sure there’s anything Gillette or P&G can do about it – except compete with the newcomers on their own terms, that is…

Gillette is still entrenched in the market; their product is available in virtually every supermarket, drug store, convenience story, and general merchandise retailer in this country. They’ve got the technology and knowledge-base to create superior products, the distribution channels to get them into any customer’s hands, and the capital to run better ads and set whatever price points they can get away with. It seems possible for them to compete in this market and win, especially with the support of their corporate parent. What they can’t do is ignore the threat that these new competitors represent. The way they have been doing until now…

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