Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Almost Obvious

This past weekend I noticed a story on the CNN Technology page about a new development that promises to save the United States millions – if not billions – in defense spending, while potentially also creating hundreds of new jobs and eliminating thousands of tons of air pollution. It’s a product prototype that has the potential to complete several different (critically needed) missions at lower cost than any existing platform, and should in theory be the kind of thing that business leaders brag about and Congress approves the moment it appears. The catch appears to be that this particular product is coming from a non-traditional source – and that no one asked for it…

You can pick up the CNN story here if you want to, but the basic idea is that Textron (the company that makes, among other things, Cessna airplanes and E-Z Go golf carts) has teamed up with a small company called AirLand Enterprises (which was founded for this purpose) to create a low-cost, relatively low-speed military aircraft specifically intended for Air National Guard and other lower-intensity combat settings. According to the joint venture’s website, the airplane, called the Scorpion, is ideally suited for “…irregular warfare, border patrol, maritime surveillance, emergency relief, counter-narcotics and air defense operations," all things traditionally done by all-up strike-fighter and fighter-bomber types like the F-15E Strike Eagle and F-16 Falcon at much higher costs – but which don’t have to be…

Company figures indicate that the Scorpion will cost about one-eighth as much to operate as an F-16 (about $3,000 per air hour compared with $24,899 for the F-16); the aircraft is also expected to be much less expensive to produce. The problem is that the U.S. Air Force did not request such a vehicle, and has so far showed no interest in the program whatsoever. It’s partly that the Air Force has committed itself to the F-35 Lightning II as an eventual F-16 replacement, which hasn’t been easy given (unconfirmed) reports that the F-35 can’t fly in bad weather, can’t hover or handle short runways, and so on. But it must also be noted that the US military has had a long history of ambivalence towards airplanes of any sort that aren’t sleek, photogenic, futuristic, and generally pointy – even when such types are not suited to the mission at hand…

To take the obvious case, much of the Air Force leadership never really warmed up to the A-10 Thunderbolt II attack craft, affectionately known as the Warthog to most of the people who have flown one. Despite the airplane’s extraordinary success in both Gulf Wars, the Air Force has been trying to phase it out almost since the lumbering, unglamorous – but supremely effective – air-to-ground platform first came on-line. The Navy had similar problems with the “drumstick-shaped” A-6 Intruder, which has now been replaced with sleek, supersonic (and pointy) F/A-18 Hornet types. Three generations of pilots have complained that it is almost impossible to fly effective close air support missions in a machine optimized for twice the speed of sound, but three generations of politicians could tell you for a certainty that such a task is still easier than trying to get funding for a new weapons system that isn’t either eye-catching or loaded with useless pork (or often both) through Congress…

The future of the Scorpion project is still up in the air as of this writing. Of course, Textron doesn’t have the prototype ready for trials yet, so perhaps things will be different once they can demonstrate the aircraft’s performance in person. But with no requests for the product – and as yet, no interest in the prototype – this is going to be a hard sell. I’m hoping that the Scorpion receives at least some support, and that the company is able to sell enough of them to at least prove the concept. In the long run, we need the capabilities that this vehicle is supposed to have, and we need the economy of operation that the design promises the end user, but the most important aspect of the whole project may turn out to be proving that entrepreneurship isn’t dead in the aircraft industry, that new airplanes don’t have to cost hundreds of billions of dollars to design or take twenty years to get ready, and that the U.S. military can still recognize a good idea they didn’t ask for, even if it isn’t pointy…

Because if any of those things is no longer true, I’m pretty sure we’ve got a bigger problem…

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